GBP/JPY technical analysis: 15-week old trend-line still in focus despite soft RSI levels

  • A failure to sustain the pullback signals weakness of the quote.
  • Near-term support-line and RSI levels could limit further declines.

Despite bouncing off an upward sloping support-line stretched since late-January, the GBP/JPY still remains weak as it trades near 142.75 during early Friday.

The quote couldn’t respect the refrain from declining beneath 15-week old ascending trend-line at 142.20 now, while the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) remains close to oversold territory.

As a result, chances of the pair’s 142.20 re-test seem brighter while its further declines can be challenged by the RSI, if not then February low near 141.00 can offer an intermediate halt during the downturn to 50.00% Fibonacci retracement of its January – March rise at 140.60.

It should also be noted that an additional downside under 140.60 may avail 140.00 round-figure as a validation to its drop towards 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 138.70.

On the upside, 143.25, 100-day simple moving average (SMA) level of 143.80 and 144.50 comprising 200-day SMA could entertain short-term buyers.

However, 145.00, 50-day SMA at 145.65 and a month-long descending trend-line at 146.40 could challenge the bulls past-144.50.

GBP/JPY daily chart

Trend: Bearish

 

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