RBA’s Debelle: Aussie rates do not have to rise in line with global peers

Comments from RBA’s Deputy Governor Guy Debelle crossing the wires –

  • No automatic reason to follow rate hikes abroad
  • Says global pressures mean Australian rates lower than they would otherwise be
  • Says cash rate set at level appropriate for domestic policy objectives

On Neutral Rates

  • Says neutral policy rate likely to remain lower than in the past
  • Estimates neutral rate has fallen by around 150 bps since 2007
  • Says risk aversion since gfc contributed to fall in neutral rate, may reverse in time
  • "No significance" should be read into fact neutral rate was discussed at july policy meeting

On AUD

  • Central bank stimulus abroad has put upward pressure on a$
  • Says a rising AUD lessens benefits of faster global growth for Australia

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