12 Oct 2016
CME data shows markets are ready for a Dec rate hike
Traditionally Fed has hiked rates only when the rate hike probability stood well above 50%. Moreover, this meant the upcoming rate hike has been priced-in and would be well received by markets.
As of now, CME fed funds data shows the probability of a rate hike in December is 67%. Markets do not see rate hike happening in November, given the election uncertainty.