55% of analysts bet 'Grexit' more likely - Reuters Poll

FXStreet (Mumbai) - The likelihood of Greece retreating from the euro swung above 50% for the first time ever, a Reuters poll showed on Wednesday.

For the first time ever, a majority of economists believe that there is more chance of Greece leaving the euro zone than staying.

According to the survey, some 55% of analysts bet that Greece will leave the currency zone, up markedly from the 45% seen a week ago.

This suggests that markets believe that Sunday's snap referendum - where a majority of voters rejected reform proposals from the international creditors - drastically lowered Greek chances of sealing a debt deal and averting a retreat from the euro area.

China stock sell-off: Implications for the RMB – Nomura

The Research Team at Nomura notes that the sharp sell-off in Chinese equities has led the markets to price in a significant RMB depreciation risk.
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UK Budget: Changes to be neutral for BoE monetary policy – RBS

Ross Walker, Senior UK Economist at RBS, sees no significant front-loading of fiscal tightening in the UK budget, and further expects the budget chances to be neutral for Bank of England’s monetary policy.
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