EUR/USD to break 1.09 if the strong condition of the US economy is confirmed – ING

Economists at ING analyze EUR/USD outlook as the pair remains in defensive mode above the 1.09 level. 

Hard to find forces to defend the Euro

The calendar doesn't have much to offer in the Eurozone today, resulting in a lack of impetus to defend the Euro. The second-quarter GDP estimate and the headline industrial production number are unlikely to change the picture much and so the ball remains in the US court today. 

At least the 2y rates differential against the USD has flipped in support of the euro or at least should not push EUR/USD any further down. However, if the strong condition of the US economy is confirmed, it will be hard for EUR/USD to resist breaking 1.09. That should be the line in the sand today as well.