AUD/USD: Extra decline on the table below 0.6630 – UOB

Further retracement in AUD/USD appears likely while below the 0.6630 level, suggest Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Our expectation for ‘the rebound in AUD to extend’ was incorrect as it fell to a low of 0.6651 before closing on a soft note at 0.6654 (0.69%). Downward pressure has not increased much and while AUD is likely to trade with a downward bias today, a sustained break below the major support of 0.6630 is unlikely. The mild downward bias is intact as long as AUD stays below 0.6700 (minor resistance is at 0.6675).”

Next 1-3 weeks: “There is not much to add to our update from Monday (15 May, spot at 0.6650). As highlighted, while the bias for AUD is tilted to the downside, it has to break and stay below 0.6630 before a sustained decline to 0.6575 is likely. The odds of AUD breaking clearly below 0.6630 will remain intact as long as it stays below 0.6725 (no change in ‘strong resistance’).”